L’École des cotes

GAIS v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 13:00 UTC

Score final : GAIS 1–1 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GAIS (Local)

Prévision 55.01%1.82cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -2.80%
Kelly -6.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.87%55.23%54.87%59.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.651.671.7367.57%60.66%59.88%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.44%5.42cote équitable
EV +15.22%
Avantage +2.44%
Kelly +2.90%
Croissance +0.441%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.69%18.31%18.55%19.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.125.106.2522.73%19.51%19.61%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.56%3.77cote équitable
EV +6.23%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.08%
Croissance +0.129%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%26.45%26.58%28.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.503.504.0033.33%28.61%28.57%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:50
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:55
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:55
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +6.93%E +1.19%K +1.44%G +0.100%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -11.99%E -7.49%K -19.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -0.408%E -0.109%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:55
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -0.447%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:50
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.32%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.95%EV -1.74%E -0.326%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.73%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 12:40
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 12:55
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:15
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 57.83%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.15%EV -15.84%E -10.35%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.15%EV -15.84%E -10.35%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -3.21%E -0.612%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:25
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -3.21%E -0.612%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:25
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 55.96%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.73%EV -3.40%E -0.648%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.31%EV -6.25%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:25
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:25
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:29
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:28
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:30
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.98%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:24
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 57.95%EV -18.59%E -12.56%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -5.98%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:25
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 12:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 12:55
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:55
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -9.24%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.67%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.42%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 12:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.34%E -6.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -10.23%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 12:35
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -10.89%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-16 12:20
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.21%EV -13.09%E -8.28%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.76%EV -14.27%E -3.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 12:35
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 12:25
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -17.04%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -20.33%E -6.78%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.21%EV -10.89%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -18.88%E -4.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 12:50
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-16 12:20