L’École des cotes

Djurgardens IF v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 39.93%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.84%39.91%39.97%40.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.312.302.4345.87%43.31%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.15%3.02cote équitable
EV -0.563%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.281%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.20%33.15%33.09%34.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.74%35.71%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%26.94%26.93%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:45
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:44
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.59%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 15:44
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -8.99%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 23:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.17%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.13%EV -4.57%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.07%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.44%EV -2.22%E -0.753%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 16:45
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.97%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.28%EV -5.77%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:09
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.28%EV -5.77%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:54
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:54
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 16:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:55
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.97%EV -6.56%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -8.99%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:44
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:49
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:45
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:48
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 14:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 16:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.96%E -3.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 16:44
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 16:44
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 12:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 16:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 12:54
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.23%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-17 16:09
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 39.52%EV -12.95%E -5.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.13%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-17 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:54
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-04-17 16:54