La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v Malmo FF

Inicio: 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 0–1 Malmo FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 39.93%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.84%39.91%39.97%40.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.312.302.4345.87%43.31%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.15%3.02momio equitativo
EV -0.563%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.281%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.20%33.15%33.09%34.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.803.0038.46%35.74%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.24%26.94%26.93%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6033.33%29.50%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:45
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:45
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.24%EV -2.97%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.60%EV -0.563%E -0.188%K -0.281%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%EV -3.07%E -0.853%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 16:44
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.59%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 15:44
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.49%EV -4.17%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.04%EV -8.99%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 23:39
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.17%E -1.74%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 13:39
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 40.13%EV -4.57%E -1.91%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.07%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.61%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.21%EV -4.97%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.44%EV -2.22%E -0.753%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 16:45
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.97%E -2.09%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 16:45
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.28%EV -5.77%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:09
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.28%EV -5.77%E -2.44%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.21%E -1.10%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:50
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:54
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:54
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.88%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 16:39
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 16:39
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.17%E -2.62%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:55
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.97%EV -6.56%E -2.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -4.21%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -8.99%E -2.66%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:49
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:45
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:44
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.06%EV -7.36%E -3.17%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.61%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -4.54%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:49
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:45
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:44
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:48
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:30
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 14:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 16:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-17 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:55
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.16%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 16:55
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.96%E -3.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 16:44
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 15:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-17 16:44
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.46%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 14:24
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.23%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.24%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 12:55
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-17 16:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -7.19%E -2.57%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-17 16:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.16%E -4.51%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -8.85%E -3.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:40
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.51%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -13.84%E -4.33%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-17 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.81%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-17 12:54
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.90%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.50%EV -13.16%E -5.02%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 16:49
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.25%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-17 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -12.83%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -19.23%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-17 16:09
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 39.52%EV -12.95%E -5.94%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.13%EV -13.82%E -5.32%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -15.19%E -4.82%K -7.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-17 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:30
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-04-17 16:54
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-04-17 16:54