Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF v IF Brommapojkarna

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 63.77%1.57fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -8.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%63.91%63.56%68.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.431.431.5077.52%70.13%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 15.67%6.38fair odd
EV +25.34%
Edge +3.17%
Kelly +3.62%
Growth +0.917%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.25%15.58%15.87%17.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.146.008.0020.00%16.29%16.67%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.56%4.86fair odd
EV +4.88%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.22%20.52%20.57%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.494.505.1026.67%22.26%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 63.77%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 15.67%; Draw: 20.56%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.38. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.67%E +1.38%K +1.61%G +0.156%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -2.32%E -0.488%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 16:20
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:20
Coolbet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.68%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60%EV +3.40%E +0.516%K +0.608%G +0.021%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.72%EV -4.37%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 16:40
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 16:30
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -13.28%E -9.76%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -13.28%E -9.76%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -13.91%E -10.31%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -14.55%E -10.86%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 16:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -14.55%E -10.86%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 16:21
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.08%E -0.333%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 66.38%EV -17.74%E -13.75%K -61.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -2.08%E -0.333%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-22 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -3.96%E -0.849%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 16:50
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.26%E -4.26%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 16:40
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.56%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.22%EV -3.65%E -0.593%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.22%EV -4.79%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 16:30
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -6.43%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 16:30
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 16:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:39
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 16:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.01%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -0.879%E -0.182%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 16:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 16:51
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-22 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.88%E -6.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.92%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.94%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -16.96%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.89%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.69%EV -18.53%E -3.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.42%EV -12.60%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-22 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.66%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-22 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-22 16:50