La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-05-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 63.77%1.57momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -8.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.43%63.91%63.56%68.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.431.431.5077.52%70.13%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 15.67%6.38momio equitativo
EV +25.34%
Ventaja +3.17%
Kelly +3.62%
Crecimiento +0.917%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.25%15.58%15.87%17.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.146.008.0020.00%16.29%16.67%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.56%4.86momio equitativo
EV +4.88%
Ventaja +0.957%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.22%20.52%20.57%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.494.505.1026.67%22.26%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 68.53%EV -8.81%E -6.16%K -20.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.25%EV +25.34%E +3.17%K +3.62%G +0.917%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.22%EV +4.88%E +0.957%K +1.19%G +0.058%2.0%2026-05-22 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV +9.67%E +1.38%K +1.61%G +0.156%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -2.32%E -0.488%K -0.618%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-22 16:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:21
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.75%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.65%EV +5.75%E +0.852%K +1.00%G +0.058%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:20
Coolbet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.68%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.60%EV +3.40%E +0.516%K +0.608%G +0.021%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.72%EV -4.37%E -0.941%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 16:50
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 16:40
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.35%E -0.712%K -0.904%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 16:30
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-22 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 16:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 16:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -13.28%E -9.76%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 16:20
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -13.28%E -9.76%K -36.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-22 16:20
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 66.33%EV -13.91%E -10.31%K -39.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-22 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -14.55%E -10.86%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 16:21
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 66.49%EV -14.55%E -10.86%K -42.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV +1.84%E +0.283%K +0.334%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 16:21
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -2.08%E -0.333%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 16:10
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.38%EV -17.74%E -13.75%K -61.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.70%EV -2.08%E -0.333%K -0.396%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-22 16:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.13%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.41%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.46%EV -3.96%E -0.849%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 16:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 16:50
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.26%E -4.26%K -13.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -2.86%E -0.462%K -0.551%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 16:40
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.56%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.22%EV -3.65%E -0.593%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.22%EV -4.79%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 16:10
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 16:30
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.62%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -6.43%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 16:49
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -9.52%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-22 16:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.00%E -0.999%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -4.99%E -3.35%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -7.56%E -1.28%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.26%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.71%EV -9.13%E -1.57%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 16:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -5.62%E -3.80%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-22 16:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-22 16:39
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -9.91%E -1.72%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-22 16:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.01%EV -12.58%E -2.25%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -0.879%E -0.182%K -0.230%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 16:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -4.35%E -2.90%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 16:51
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.96%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-22 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.72%E -7.66%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -13.83%E -2.51%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.88%E -6.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-22 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.92%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.54%EV -15.40%E -2.85%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -10.54%E -2.42%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.94%EV -7.54%E -5.20%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -16.96%E -3.20%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.17%E -5.68%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -17.75%E -3.38%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-22 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.89%EV -12.00%E -8.70%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.69%EV -18.53%E -3.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.42%EV -12.60%E -2.96%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-22 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -9.45%E -6.65%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -21.66%E -4.33%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-22 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:40
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-22 16:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-22 16:50