Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Degerfors IF v Mjällby AIF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 13:02 UTC

Score final : Degerfors IF 1–4 Mjällby AIF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prévision 27.02%3.70cote équitable
EV +8.09%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.70%
Croissance +0.218%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%26.94%26.99%28.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.513.494.0031.25%28.50%28.65%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.19%2.26cote équitable
EV -4.99%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -4.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.64%44.19%44.22%47.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.852.052.052.1554.05%48.69%48.66%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -0.686%
Avantage -0.199%
Kelly -0.280%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.95%28.87%28.79%30.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.213.253.4535.71%31.13%30.77%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Degerfors IF (Local) : 27.02% ; Mjällby AIF (Visiteur) : 44.19% ; Match nul : 28.79%. Pour Degerfors IF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.70. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +5.39%E +1.38%K +1.86%G +0.100%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.13%E -0.625%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.69%E +0.708%K +0.961%G +0.026%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -7.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.69%E +0.708%K +0.961%G +0.026%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -7.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV +1.34%E +0.357%K +0.487%G +0.007%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV +1.34%E +0.357%K +0.487%G +0.007%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.36%E -0.374%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 12:59
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -1.36%E -0.374%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 12:53
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -18.25%E -9.86%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 13:00
Pinnacle🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.26%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.82%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -2.70%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 12:59
1xBet🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -3.53%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.10%EV -6.16%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:56
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:59
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:59
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 12:59
GTbets🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.90%EV -5.96%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -5.58%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -10.19%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:58
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 13:00
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 12:59
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 25.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.23%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 27.21%EV -11.36%E -3.46%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.18%EV -10.74%E -5.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.61%EV -10.19%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:00
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.09%E -3.89%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -12.50%E -6.32%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.99%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 12:59
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.52%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-05-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-09 13:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-05-09 13:00