La escuela de los momios

Degerfors IF v Mjällby AIF

Inicio: 2026-05-09 13:02 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 1–4 Mjällby AIF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Degerfors IF (Local)

Predicción 27.02%3.70momio equitativo
EV +8.09%
Ventaja +2.02%
Kelly +2.70%
Crecimiento +0.218%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.09%26.94%26.99%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.494.0031.25%28.50%28.65%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 44.19%2.26momio equitativo
EV -4.99%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -4.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.19%44.22%47.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.052.052.1554.05%48.69%48.66%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV -0.686%
Ventaja -0.199%
Kelly -0.280%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.95%28.87%28.79%30.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.213.253.4535.71%31.13%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.38%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.35%EV -8.97%E -4.35%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 24.33%EV +8.09%E +2.02%K +2.70%G +0.218%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.47%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -0.686%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV +5.39%E +1.38%K +1.86%G +0.100%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -2.13%E -0.625%K -0.886%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV +4.04%E +1.05%K +1.42%G +0.057%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.69%E +0.708%K +0.961%G +0.026%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -7.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV +2.69%E +0.708%K +0.961%G +0.026%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -14.71%E -7.62%K -15.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV +1.34%E +0.357%K +0.487%G +0.007%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV +1.34%E +0.357%K +0.487%G +0.007%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.40%EV -1.36%E -0.374%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.83%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.77%EV -3.56%E -1.06%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 12:59
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -1.36%E -0.374%K -0.514%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 12:53
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:00
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -18.25%E -9.86%K -21.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 13:00
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -3.26%E -0.909%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.82%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.38%EV -2.70%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 12:59
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 26.57%EV -3.53%E -0.987%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.33%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.10%EV -6.16%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 12:59
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetUS3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
BetAnything3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.05%EV -5.43%E -2.54%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%EV -6.76%E -3.20%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 12:56
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 12:59
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 12:59
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 12:59
GTbets3.48I 28.74%NM 26.90%EV -5.96%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.57%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -5.58%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.00%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 12:59
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.65%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -10.19%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:58
Paddy Power3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 13:00
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 12:59
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.32%E -2.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:00
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.44%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.99%E -2.32%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 12:59
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 12:59
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.88%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:00
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.62%E -5.81%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.64%E -4.55%K -6.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.60%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.23%EV -15.60%E -8.17%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.17%EV -19.40%E -6.93%K -10.78%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-09 12:59
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 27.21%EV -11.36%E -3.46%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.18%EV -10.74%E -5.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.61%EV -10.19%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 12:59
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.20%E -3.43%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:00
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.09%E -3.89%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.32%E -2.96%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -12.50%E -6.32%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-09 12:59
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.99%EV -14.27%E -7.36%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-09 12:59
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -13.52%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -9.41%E -4.59%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.76%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-09 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-05-09 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-05-09 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-05-09 13:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-05-09 13:00
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.86%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-05-09 13:00