Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.50
assuming max odds 2.30
assuming max odds 3.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Degerfors IF (Local): 28.33%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 43.23%; Draw: 28.44%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.516. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.520, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.100%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.66%EV -2.54%E -0.738%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.03%EV +0.100%E +0.028%K +0.040%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -0.569%E -0.248%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -0.569%E -0.248%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.31%EV -0.569%E -0.248%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -2.73%E -1.21%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -3.31%E -0.974%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.31%E -0.974%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.62%EV -1.69%E -0.487%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.77%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.61%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -5.30%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -3.60%E -1.61%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.49%EV -5.32%E -2.43%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 11:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.63%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.36%EV -10.08%E -4.85%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.01%EV -8.43%E -2.62%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 11:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.05%E -3.28%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 11:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -4.89%E -2.22%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.57%EV -6.62%E -3.07%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.79%EV -7.49%E -3.50%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 11:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -9.22%E -4.39%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 11:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -16.42%E -5.57%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -8.35%E -3.94%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-16 11:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.38%E -5.55%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -14.69%E -4.90%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-16 11:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.62% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-08-16 11:55 |