Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV +0.934%
Edge +0.306%
Kelly +0.456%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.75%33.07%33.10%33.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.803.0539.22%35.81%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 39.08%2.56fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%39.09%39.12%39.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.312.322.4546.30%43.22%43.10%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.84%27.78%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.4533.33%30.70%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Degerfors IF (Local): 33.09%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 39.08%; Draw: 27.83%. For Degerfors IF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.05, producing a positive expected value of +0.934%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV +0.934%E +0.306%K +0.456%G +0.004%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.98%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV +0.934%E +0.306%K +0.456%G +0.004%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.98%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%EV +0.934%E +0.306%K +0.456%G +0.004%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.98%EV -5.03%E -2.07%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.16%EV -4.00%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -9.33%E -4.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:05
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -9.33%E -4.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -9.33%E -4.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:10
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.97%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -9.33%E -4.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 12:09
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.68%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.31%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:10
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.18%EV -6.68%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.31%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 13:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -10.89%E -4.78%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -12.35%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -12.35%E -3.92%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 12:10
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.25%E -1.73%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.16%E -3.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.79%E -2.03%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.20%E -2.58%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 12:14
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.11%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.18%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.05%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.05%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.52%EV -12.85%E -5.76%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-09 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.75%EV -10.65%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 39.68%EV -15.58%E -7.21%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.52%E -5.51%K -8.26%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-09 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.15%EV -12.30%E -4.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.70%EV -11.28%E -4.97%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.15%EV -13.19%E -4.23%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-09 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -12.30%E -4.64%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 12:09
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -12.96%E -4.93%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -14.02%E -6.37%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 12:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -9.57%E -2.94%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-09 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.96%E -5.37%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.96%E -3.42%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 12:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -15.61%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.34%EV -12.07%E -5.36%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.83%EV -13.74%E -4.43%K -6.54%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-09 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 33.29%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.89%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%13.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-09 12:25