StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg

2026-08-16 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

32 spelbolag (8 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Degerfors IF (Hemma)

Prognos 30.26%3.31rättvist odds
EV -2.88%
Fördel -0.897%
Kelly -1.30%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.14%30.36%30.28%32.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.652.932.923.2137.74%34.18%34.19%31.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Borta)

Prognos 42.47%2.35rättvist odds
EV +5.32%
Fördel +2.14%
Kelly +3.59%
Tillväxt +0.191%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.96%42.24%42.44%43.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.002.232.202.4850.00%44.81%45.45%40.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.28%3.67rättvist odds
EV -4.53%
Fördel -1.29%
Kelly -1.81%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.61%27.40%27.28%28.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.303.253.5033.33%30.35%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Degerfors IF (Hemma): 30.26%; IFK Goteborg (Borta): 42.47%; Oavgjort: 27.28%. För IFK Goteborg (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.35. 5 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.48, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +5.32%.

Spelbolagsodds (32 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV +5.32%E +2.14%K +3.59%G +0.191%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV +5.32%E +2.14%K +3.59%G +0.191%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.48%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.28%EV +5.32%E +2.14%K +3.59%G +0.191%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.775%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -12.86%E -4.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV +1.07%E +0.450%K +0.775%G +0.008%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -0.204%E -0.087%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 15:05
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -0.204%E -0.087%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -0.204%E -0.087%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 15:05
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -0.204%E -0.087%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 15:05
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -16.80%E -6.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -2.33%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -16.80%E -6.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -3.18%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -16.80%E -6.11%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -3.18%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -15.44%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 15:05
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:10
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.96%EV -5.72%E -2.58%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.18%E -0.994%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 14:55
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.53%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.38%EV -19.82%E -7.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -18.17%E -6.06%K -9.08%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-09 15:05
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -10.75%E -3.64%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -7.42%E -3.41%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -5.89%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 15:00
Pinnacle🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV -2.88%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.51%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -6.71%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.98%E -3.03%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 14:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.70%E -4.05%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 15:00
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.21%E -2.00%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.26%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-09 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -15.28%E -5.46%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -10.82%E -5.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.71%E -3.97%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-09 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-09 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -12.26%E -4.23%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.35%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 14:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.23%E -3.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.16%EV -13.79%E -6.79%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.64%EV -13.53%E -4.27%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-09 14:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.03%EV -13.77%E -4.83%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.80%EV -15.07%E -7.53%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.17%EV -14.07%E -4.47%K -6.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-09 14:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 29.60%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.00%13.4%2026-08-09 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%183.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%183.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.97%1.07I 93.46%NM 33.02%183.1%2026-08-09 14:55