Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF v IF Elfsborg

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 17:02 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 0–1 IF Elfsborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prediction 36.30%2.75fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%36.32%36.37%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.502.7143.48%39.68%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 33.84%2.95fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.81%33.79%33.77%35.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.702.8840.00%36.75%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.85%3.35fair odd
EV +0.002%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%29.89%29.86%31.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.083.103.3537.04%32.44%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Degerfors IF (Local): 36.30%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 33.84%; Draw: 29.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.3499. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.3500, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.002%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.77%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -1.49%E -0.452%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Coolbet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.49%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.79%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.25%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:59
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:00
GTbets🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.25%EV -3.21%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:00
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:59
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.96%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 16:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:59
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:00
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.45%EV -1.61%E -0.596%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -8.06%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:00
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 17:01
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.99%E -4.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.25%EV -11.78%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.86%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -13.70%E -5.37%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 17:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.04%EV -16.50%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.88%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-17 17:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 16:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -14.68%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.04%EV -15.41%E -6.61%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-17 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.31%EV -14.33%E -4.99%K -7.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -19.40%E -7.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72%1.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%3.0%2026-04-17 17:00