La escuela de los momios

Degerfors IF v IF Elfsborg

Inicio: 2026-04-17 17:02 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 0–1 IF Elfsborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Degerfors IF (Local)

Predicción 36.30%2.75momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.596%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.45%36.32%36.37%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.502.7143.48%39.68%40.00%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Predicción 33.84%2.95momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -0.878%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.81%33.79%33.77%35.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.702.8840.00%36.75%37.04%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV +0.002%
Ventaja +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%29.89%29.86%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.083.103.3537.04%32.44%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.88%EV -3.79%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 17:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.77%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.93%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -1.49%E -0.452%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.60%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.78%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.62%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 16:58
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -2.98%E -0.918%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.49%EV -4.52%E -1.72%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.79%EV -3.88%E -1.37%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.71%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.83%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.25%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.92%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 17:00
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.25%EV -3.21%E -1.12%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.18%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 16:59
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:00
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.02%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -2.53%E -0.878%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 17:00
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:59
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -6.33%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -5.91%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:59
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.96%E -4.02%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -5.97%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 17:00
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.24%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:59
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 16:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:59
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 16:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.33%E -4.32%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -7.46%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-17 17:00
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.45%EV -1.61%E -0.596%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.31%EV -8.06%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 16:59
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.10%EV -7.06%E -2.76%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 17:00
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.31%E -3.89%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -8.95%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 16:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -3.55%E -1.24%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 17:00
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.42%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 17:01
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 16:59
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-17 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -11.05%E -4.51%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -10.99%E -4.18%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.22%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 17:00
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 36.25%EV -11.78%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.88%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.86%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -13.70%E -5.37%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-17 17:00
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.04%EV -16.50%E -7.17%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.39%E -6.16%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.88%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-17 17:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -6.93%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-17 16:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -8.62%E -3.19%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-17 17:00
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.84%EV -14.68%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.86%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-17 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.04%EV -15.41%E -6.61%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.76%EV -13.43%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-17 16:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.45%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.31%EV -14.33%E -4.99%K -7.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.56%EV -12.87%E -5.36%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.83%EV -12.01%E -4.62%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.61%EV -19.40%E -7.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-17 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.03%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.6%2026-04-17 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.62%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.66%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.72%1.7%2026-04-17 17:00
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.87%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-17 17:00
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%3.0%2026-04-17 17:00