Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF v BK Hacken

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 1–1 BK Hacken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.328%
Kelly -0.474%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%30.50%30.34%32.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.993.003.2537.04%33.45%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd
EV -0.273%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.193%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.25%41.05%41.30%42.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.262.252.4250.00%44.30%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.35%3.53fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.84%28.45%28.36%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.01%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Degerfors IF (Local): 30.44%; BK Hacken (Visit): 41.21%; Draw: 28.35%. For BK Hacken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.273%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -1.07%E -0.328%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:55
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:55
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 12:51
1xBet🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -7.69%E -3.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:53
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:55
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Bovada🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -5.02%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.87%E -3.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:53
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 12:41
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:45
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:51
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:44
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:55
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:45
GTbets🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.45%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.46%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -0.273%E -0.113%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 08:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:35
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 12:49
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:51
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:51
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:56
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -17.58%E -8.79%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.35%E -6.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-02 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:51
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.46%E -6.41%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:51
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:51
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:49
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 12:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -16.29%E -5.92%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -17.81%E -6.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:51
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-02 12:51