La escuela de los momios

Degerfors IF v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 1–1 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Degerfors IF (Local)

Predicción 30.44%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.328%
Kelly -0.474%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%30.50%30.34%32.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.993.003.2537.04%33.45%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 41.21%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.273%
Ventaja -0.113%
Kelly -0.193%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.25%41.05%41.30%42.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.262.252.4250.00%44.30%44.44%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.61%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.84%28.45%28.36%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.253.4034.72%31.01%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.25I 30.77%NM 29.52%EV -1.07%E -0.328%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-02 12:55
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:54
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:55
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 12:55
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:45
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -2.59%E -0.809%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 12:51
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -3.20%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -7.69%E -3.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -8.43%E -2.61%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:53
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.95%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:55
Everygame3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.11%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Bovada3.12I 32.05%NM 30.07%EV -5.02%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.51%EV -6.87%E -3.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:53
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 12:41
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:45
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:51
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 12:44
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 12:55
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:45
GTbets3.09I 32.36%NM 30.45%EV -5.94%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.46%EV -6.45%E -2.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:54
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.71%EV -0.273%E -0.113%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.26%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-01 08:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 12:35
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 12:49
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:51
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:55
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 12:51
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 12:45
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 12:56
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.95%E -4.98%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -17.58%E -8.79%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.35%E -6.37%K -9.76%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-02 12:45
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.20%E -3.46%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:50
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.92%E -0.807%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 12:51
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -13.46%E -6.41%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-02 12:45
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:51
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:50
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 12:51
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -3.61%E -1.06%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.02%EV -12.33%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.34%E -4.25%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 12:35
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:49
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -3.16%E -1.34%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:50
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.98%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.86%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:51
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -7.28%E -3.24%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.45%E -1.95%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 12:35
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.24%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 12:35
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 12:50
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -5.22%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.28%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 12:51
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -16.29%E -5.92%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -11.40%E -5.30%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-02 12:35
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -17.81%E -6.60%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.29%EV -8.10%E -3.63%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:51
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%1.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.96%1.6%2026-05-02 12:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.72%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-05-02 12:51