Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken v Kalmar FF

Início: 2026-08-01 13:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 1–1 Kalmar FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken (Local)

Previsão 53.65%1.86odd justa
EV -1.81%
Vantagem -0.992%
Kelly -2.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.19%53.62%53.54%56.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.711.721.8364.52%58.38%58.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Previsão 23.06%4.34odd justa
EV +3.79%
Vantagem +0.843%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.57%23.12%23.16%25.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.404.034.004.5029.41%24.81%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.28%4.30odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.294%
Kelly +0.381%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.06%23.26%23.30%24.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.974.004.3527.03%25.20%25.00%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: BK Hacken (Local): 53.65%; Kalmar FF (Visitante): 23.06%; Empate: 23.28%. Para Kalmar FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.34. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV +3.79%E +0.843%K +1.08%G +0.041%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.28%E +0.294%K +0.381%G +0.005%3.0%2026-08-01 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV +3.79%E +0.843%K +1.08%G +0.041%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.28%E +0.294%K +0.381%G +0.005%3.0%2026-08-01 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV +3.79%E +0.843%K +1.08%G +0.041%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV +1.28%E +0.294%K +0.381%G +0.005%3.0%2026-08-01 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.96%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV +1.48%E +0.337%K +0.437%G +0.006%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -10.40%E -6.23%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -0.822%E -0.191%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.69%EV -10.40%E -6.23%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -0.822%E -0.191%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 12:55
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.10%EV -5.03%E -2.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.43%EV -1.51%E -0.354%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.47%EV -5.01%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 11:30
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 11:29
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.96%E -2.21%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.01%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -10.94%E -6.59%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:54
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -10.94%E -6.59%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -10.94%E -6.59%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:55
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -10.94%E -6.59%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -3.13%E -0.745%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:54
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 12:55
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.04%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 12:54
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.30%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.36%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 12:44
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.30%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -10.36%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 12:45
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.77%EV -1.81%E -0.992%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.67%EV -5.01%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 12:50
Everygame🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 12:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.64%E -3.82%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 12:49
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.24%EV -12.55%E -7.70%K -19.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -8.04%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 12:54
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -13.08%E -8.08%K -21.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 12:54
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 12:54
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 12:54
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -13.62%E -8.46%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -13.62%E -8.46%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -7.74%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-01 12:55
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.29%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -8.25%E -4.83%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 12:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 12:50
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:44
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.11%E -3.49%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 12:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.72%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 12:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.23%EV -16.84%E -10.86%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.83%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-01 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.35%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.24%EV -10.51%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -10.36%E -2.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 12:49
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:44
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.12%EV -7.72%E -4.49%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 12:49
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 12:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 12:50
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.86%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.86%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.86%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:49
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -13.86%E -3.74%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-01 12:45
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -16.97%E -4.71%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-01 12:49
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -8.79%E -5.17%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -21.58%E -6.35%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-01 10:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%0.9%2026-08-01 12:55
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%1.2%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-01 12:55