La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v Kalmar FF

2026-08-01 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

32 corredores (6 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 57.31%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.86%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -7.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.39%57.38%57.21%58.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.95%62.50%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Predicción 20.58%4.86momio equitativo
EV +2.90%
Ventaja +0.580%
Kelly +0.725%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.39%20.49%20.63%22.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.494.555.0026.32%22.25%21.98%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV -0.525%
Ventaja -0.117%
Kelly -0.150%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.57%22.14%22.16%22.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.154.5026.67%24.21%24.10%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -1.22%E -0.254%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:36
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -1.22%E -0.254%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:35
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.20%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.02%EV -3.07%E -0.652%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.697%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.697%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:05
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.15%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.22%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:25
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 13:31
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -9.44%E -5.98%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:35
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 13:45
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:05
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 13:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 13:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -10.48%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -10.48%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.89%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.54%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.59%EV -14.23%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 13:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -12.31%E -8.04%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 14:20
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.08%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -14.59%E -3.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -17.68%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 13:15
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -17.68%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-25 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.39%EV -12.88%E -8.47%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.16%EV -21.80%E -5.74%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -17.10%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%13.7%2026-07-25 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40