L’École des cotes

BK Hacken v Kalmar FF

2026-08-01 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 57.31%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -7.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.39%57.38%57.21%58.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6666.67%62.95%62.50%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.58%4.86cote équitable
EV +2.90%
Avantage +0.580%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.39%20.49%20.63%22.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.494.555.0026.32%22.25%21.98%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV -0.525%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.150%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.57%22.14%22.16%22.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.154.5026.67%24.21%24.10%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.79%EV -4.86%E -2.93%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.52%EV +2.90%E +0.580%K +0.725%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV -0.525%E -0.117%K -0.150%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 13:05
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -1.22%E -0.254%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:36
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -1.22%E -0.254%K -0.320%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 17:35
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.20%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.02%EV -3.07%E -0.652%K -0.827%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.697%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:05
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.28%E -0.697%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:05
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.15%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.22%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 01:25
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.72%E -4.80%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 13:31
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.37%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:05
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -9.44%E -5.98%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:35
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.33%E -1.16%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 13:45
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.13%EV -5.43%E -3.29%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.92%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.67%EV -7.15%E -4.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -4.28%E -0.989%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 14:05
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -7.39%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 13:35
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.78%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:35
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -10.02%E -6.38%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 13:05
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -9.45%E -2.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 13:05
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -10.48%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.18%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.38%EV -10.48%E -2.41%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.44%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.30%E -5.19%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.89%E -2.52%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.16%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.54%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.59%EV -14.23%E -3.67%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 13:09
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -12.31%E -8.04%K -23.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -11.58%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 14:20
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.08%EV -14.03%E -9.35%K -28.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.39%EV -13.57%E -3.23%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-25 13:05
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.15%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -14.59%E -3.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -14.89%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-25 13:05
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -10.59%E -6.79%K -18.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -17.68%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 13:15
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 55.70%EV -11.16%E -7.20%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -17.68%E -4.42%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -16.00%E -4.21%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-25 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.39%EV -12.88%E -8.47%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.16%EV -21.80%E -5.74%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.45%EV -17.10%E -4.56%K -6.22%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-25 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%13.7%2026-07-25 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-25 13:40