Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 1–0 Halmstads BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 70.45%1.42fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -9.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.16%70.40%70.40%72.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.36%76.92%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 12.36%8.09fair odd
EV +11.22%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.157%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.85%12.44%12.46%13.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.527.509.0015.38%13.30%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.19%5.82fair odd
EV +0.588%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.121%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.16%17.14%18.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.325.285.8520.83%18.81%18.96%17.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 70.45%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 12.36%; Draw: 17.19%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.25%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.88%EV +0.095%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -11.45%E -2.22%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:55
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -11.45%E -2.22%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.68%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.02%EV -2.01%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.30%EV +0.588%E +0.100%K +0.121%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.61%E -0.463%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 16:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 16:40
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:48
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 12:34
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.71%E -5.89%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 12:30
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 16:43
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.34%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.94%E -9.55%K -47.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.94%E -9.55%K -47.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 16:49
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.41%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -7.94%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.34%EV -3.49%E -2.54%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.07%EV -10.16%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.41%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.09%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -10.41%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.52%EV -16.61%E -3.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.03%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -1.13%E -0.197%K -0.238%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.12%EV -14.73%E -2.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -16.59%E -2.46%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.51%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -16.59%E -2.46%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 16:55
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.16%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:25
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.1%2026-08-17 16:45