Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-08-17 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 1–0 Halmstads BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 70.45%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -9.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.16%70.40%70.40%72.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.311.301.3780.00%76.36%76.92%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 12.36%8.09momio equitativo
EV +11.22%
Ventaja +1.25%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.157%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.85%12.44%12.46%13.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.527.509.0015.38%13.30%13.33%11.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 17.19%5.82momio equitativo
EV +0.588%
Ventaja +0.100%
Kelly +0.121%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.16%17.14%18.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.325.285.8520.83%18.81%18.96%17.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: BK Hacken (Local): 70.45%; Halmstads BK (Visitante): 12.36%; Empate: 17.19%. Para Halmstads BK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.09. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.22%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.32%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.85%EV +11.22%E +1.25%K +1.40%G +0.157%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV -0.272%E -0.047%K -0.057%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.25%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.88%EV +0.095%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.88%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-17 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -11.45%E -2.22%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:55
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -11.45%E -2.22%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.14%E -0.143%K -0.163%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.23%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-17 16:44
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.68%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.93I 12.61%NM 12.02%EV -2.01%E -0.253%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.30%EV +0.588%E +0.100%K +0.121%G +0.001%4.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -3.61%E -0.463%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 16:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 16:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 16:40
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:48
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.01%E -5.31%K -21.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:49
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 16:55
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 12:34
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -7.71%E -5.89%K -24.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 12:30
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 16:40
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 16:43
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -10.59%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.34%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.65%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.67%EV -11.24%E -8.92%K -43.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.87%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -12.31%E -2.41%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.94%E -9.55%K -47.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.94%E -9.55%K -47.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -7.32%E -0.976%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-17 16:49
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.41%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.57%EV -7.94%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.03%EV -5.43%E -0.987%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.77%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.72%EV -8.55%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.51%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 16:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.34%EV -3.49%E -2.54%K -9.42%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.07%EV -10.16%E -1.40%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -7.15%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.41%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 15:00
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.09%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.39%EV -10.41%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.52%EV -16.61%E -3.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.60%E -4.18%K -16.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.03%E -1.53%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -1.13%E -0.197%K -0.238%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.04%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.91%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -8.87%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-17 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -13.50%E -1.93%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-17 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.64%EV -8.42%E -6.48%K -28.06%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.12%EV -14.73%E -2.14%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -9.73%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.55%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -16.59%E -2.46%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -1.99%E -0.349%K -0.424%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.51%EV -9.83%E -7.68%K -35.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -16.59%E -2.46%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -3.71%E -0.663%K -0.807%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-17 16:55
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.16%EV -4.90%E -3.63%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.95%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 16:25
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -6.30%E -4.74%K -19.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -17.47%E -3.64%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-17 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.12%E -7.07%K -31.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -19.68%E -3.03%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.03%E -2.81%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.57%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.08%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.57%0.6%2026-08-17 16:55
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.92%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-08-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.75%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.75%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%1.1%2026-08-17 16:45