L’École des cotes

BK Hacken v GAIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 14:30 UTC

Score final : BK Hacken 2–1 GAIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 45.94%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%45.98%45.98%47.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.78%50.00%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.33%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.99%
Avantage +0.554%
Kelly +0.767%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.66%28.29%28.31%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.6033.33%30.60%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.73%3.89cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -0.724%
Kelly -0.984%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%25.73%25.72%26.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.553.553.7830.30%28.16%28.17%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.75%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV +1.99%E +0.554%K +0.767%G +0.015%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -8.59%E -4.31%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -1.41%E -0.404%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.93%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -2.26%E -0.654%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.33%EV -2.74%E -0.724%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:01
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:23
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.66%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:20
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 46.66%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:04
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:05
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:05
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -9.04%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 14:01
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:20
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.12%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -10.88%E -5.61%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -13.29%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -9.96%E -5.08%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.23%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.09%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-19 14:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-19 14:05