La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v GAIS

Inicio: 2026-04-19 14:30 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 2–1 GAIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 45.94%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%45.98%45.98%47.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1252.36%49.78%50.00%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GAIS (Visitante)

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.554%
Kelly +0.767%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.66%28.29%28.31%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.6033.33%30.60%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.73%3.89momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -0.724%
Kelly -0.984%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%25.73%25.72%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.553.553.7830.30%28.16%28.17%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.75%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV +1.99%E +0.554%K +0.767%G +0.015%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.59%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.61%E -1.23%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV -0.839%E -0.240%K -0.336%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -3.51%E -0.935%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 14:05
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -8.59%E -4.31%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -1.41%E -0.404%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -7.88%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:25
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 46.93%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.75%EV -2.26%E -0.654%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.33%EV -2.74%E -0.724%K -0.984%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.08%EV -5.37%E -2.61%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:00
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.67%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:01
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 45.23%EV -3.53%E -1.68%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -3.96%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:23
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 46.13%EV -6.29%E -3.08%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.66%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:20
BetAnything2.01I 49.75%NM 46.66%EV -7.67%E -3.81%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:25
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -7.21%E -3.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.09%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:05
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -4.79%E -1.30%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:04
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 14:05
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.51%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:05
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 14:05
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.10%EV -9.50%E -4.82%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -9.04%E -4.57%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -7.92%E -2.44%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 14:01
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:20
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.83%E -2.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:05
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.34%E -2.92%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 14:05
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:20
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.12%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -10.76%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 14:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.37%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.13%E -4.06%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:05
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.42%E -5.34%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.17%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.21%EV -10.88%E -5.61%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -13.59%E -4.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.03%EV -13.29%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.02%EV -9.96%E -5.08%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -11.23%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 14:05
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.26%E -6.42%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -15.01%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.09%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:10
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-19 14:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%2.2%2026-04-19 14:05