Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 0–0 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 49.31%2.03fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.55%49.20%49.33%50.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.891.9557.14%53.20%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.793%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.16%27.28%27.21%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.65%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.48%4.26fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.329%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.53%23.52%23.45%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.903.904.2028.17%25.64%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 49.31%; AIK (Visit): 27.21%; Draw: 23.48%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.56%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.29%EV -3.50%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 16:51
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.34%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:50
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.55%EV -6.96%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV -5.37%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:54
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.29%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 16:46
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:51
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:50
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.60%EV -8.28%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.26%E -5.03%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -10.25%E -5.63%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-27 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -10.25%E -5.63%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-27 16:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -10.74%E -5.93%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -12.22%E -6.87%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.67%EV -13.21%E -7.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%EV -16.64%E -4.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-27 16:51
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -13.70%E -7.83%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:51
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-07-27 16:55