The School of Odds

BK Hacken v AIK

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 52.69%1.90fair odd
EV -5.68%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.52%52.77%52.61%53.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.7962%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 24.65%4.06fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.61%24.68%24.59%25.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.673.653.9030%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.331%
Kelly -0.429%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.68%22.55%22.80%23.90%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3528%25%25%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 52.69%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.29%E -2.52%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -1.44%E -0.331%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 01:20
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -5.68%E -3.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.56%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%EV -5.97%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 01:50
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -2.57%E -0.598%K -0.779%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 01:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 52.58%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.10%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 02:15
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.58%EV -6.21%E -3.49%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -5.10%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.11%EV -8.24%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 02:15
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -6.73%E -3.80%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-20 01:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:39
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:40
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.79%E -4.45%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.26%E -3.13%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 01:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.32%E -4.78%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -3.87%E -0.991%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 19:33
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.33%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 19:35
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.80%E -2.38%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.10%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 02:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.84%E -5.11%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.56%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.37%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 19:35
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.33%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.84%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 01:15
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.42%E -6.13%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.33%E -1.67%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 19:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -12.00%E -7.19%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -13.73%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-20 02:05
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -12.00%E -7.19%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -13.73%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -18.43%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-19 19:35
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -13.90%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-20 01:59
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -12.53%E -7.55%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -13.73%E -3.92%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-20 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.11%EV -13.06%E -7.91%K -20.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -10.03%E -2.75%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.88%EV -13.22%E -3.45%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-20 02:00
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.04%EV -14.64%E -9.04%K -23.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -17.42%E -5.20%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.79%EV -16.17%E -4.37%K -5.99%G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-20 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 52.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.26%16.2%2026-07-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 29.27%1.50I 66.67%NM 35.13%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.60%89.8%2026-07-20 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 29.27%1.50I 66.67%NM 35.13%1.48I 67.57%NM 35.60%89.8%2026-07-20 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 25.34%1.04I 96.15%NM 43.85%1.48I 67.57%NM 30.81%119.3%2026-07-19 20:55