Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken v AIK

Inicio: 2026-07-27 17:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 0–0 AIK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 49.31%2.03momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.55%49.20%49.33%50.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.881.891.9557.14%53.20%52.91%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AIK (Visitante)

Predicción 27.21%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.793%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.16%27.28%27.21%28.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.65%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.48%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.329%
Kelly -0.432%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.53%23.52%23.45%24.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.553.903.904.2028.17%25.64%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: BK Hacken (Local): 49.31%; AIK (Visitante): 27.21%; Empate: 23.48%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.26. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.20, con un valor esperado de -1.38%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.57%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.85%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-27 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -3.84%E -1.97%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.56%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-27 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -4.33%E -2.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.29%EV -3.50%E -0.850%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 16:51
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.82%E -2.50%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -5.87%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.34%EV -4.43%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:50
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.55%EV -6.96%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.38%EV -5.37%E -1.33%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bovada🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:54
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.91%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.46%EV -5.32%E -2.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.06%E -0.572%K -0.793%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -1.38%E -0.329%K -0.432%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.38%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.29%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 16:46
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-27 16:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.81%E -3.04%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 16:51
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.73%E -0.910%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -6.30%E -3.32%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-27 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.20%EV -6.80%E -3.60%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:50
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.29%E -3.88%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-27 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.78%E -4.16%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.60%EV -8.28%E -4.45%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:55
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.12%EV -8.77%E -4.74%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -12.94%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.06%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.56%EV -9.26%E -5.03%K -11.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -6.08%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -4.78%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.50%E -2.21%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 16:50
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.75%E -5.33%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.22%E -3.10%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.95%E -3.19%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -10.25%E -5.63%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-27 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -10.25%E -5.63%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.12%E -3.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-27 16:51
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.74%EV -10.74%E -5.93%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.86%E -2.65%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -9.60%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-27 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.76%EV -11.23%E -6.24%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -11.58%E -3.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.68%EV -7.25%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.70%EV -12.22%E -6.87%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.14%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.43%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-27 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 48.67%EV -13.21%E -7.50%K -17.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -14.30%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%EV -16.64%E -4.69%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-27 16:51
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 48.93%EV -13.70%E -7.83%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.38%E -6.13%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -10.77%E -2.84%K -3.85%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:51
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-07-27 16:55
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.44%1.6%2026-07-27 16:55