La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v AIK

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 50.72%1.97momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.35%50.71%50.74%52.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.811.831.9059.88%55.21%54.79%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AIK (Visitante)

Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +0.724%
Kelly +0.965%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.17%25.79%25.79%26.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.593.594.0031.25%27.84%27.86%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.56%4.24momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.250%
Kelly -0.327%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.37%23.51%23.47%24.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.893.854.2028.17%25.74%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.89%E +0.724%K +0.965%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 20:50
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.89%E +0.724%K +0.965%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 20:50
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV +2.89%E +0.724%K +0.965%G +0.028%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 20:50
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.71%EV -1.74%E -0.454%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -5.05%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-22 13:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.25%E -0.592%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 20:50
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.25%E -0.592%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 20:50
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:50
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:55
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:55
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.72%E -5.46%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -3.54%E -0.943%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 20:55
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.58%EV -3.64%E -1.92%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.98%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.44%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 09:50
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-22 17:18
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 20:35
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -11.25%E -6.43%K -15.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 20:50
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 51.36%EV -11.75%E -6.75%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-25 20:55
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.95%EV -6.68%E -3.63%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -6.88%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -4.58%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 13:24
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 17:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 20:35
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-22 18:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:34
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:34
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 17:00
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 17:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-21 17:13
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.33%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.00%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 20:55
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.33%EV -7.91%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -2.23%E -0.536%K -0.707%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-24 17:40
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 14:49
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.70%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-23 17:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -10.23%E -5.78%K -13.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.33%EV -11.75%E -6.75%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 17:05
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -1.05%E -0.250%K -0.327%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 07:29
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -5.67%E -3.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 20:24
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -5.67%E -3.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 20:24
BetAnything1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -5.67%E -3.05%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 12:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.70%E -4.23%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 06:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 18:15
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 18:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 18:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.17%E -3.34%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 18:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 06:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 20:34
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:30
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-21 20:30
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.30%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 07:30
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.16%EV -15.30%E -9.16%K -22.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.77%EV -11.25%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.07%EV -16.36%E -4.61%K -6.42%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-25 20:55
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.19%E -3.93%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 07:24
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.71%E -4.84%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -10.74%E -6.10%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-22 13:44
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -12.26%E -7.09%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -16.40%E -5.05%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-23 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 49.91%EV -13.78%E -8.11%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.52%EV -17.68%E -5.53%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.18%E -4.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-22 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-07-26 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-07-26 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-07-26 05:55
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.45%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-07-26 06:04
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.26%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.31%2.1%2026-07-26 05:15