默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK v Västerås SK

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 13:00 UTC

最终结果: AIK 1–4 Västerås SK

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK (主队)

预测 46.51%2.15公平赔率
EV -1.40%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -1.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
45.10%46.63%46.48%50.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.841.992.002.1254.35%50.23%50.00%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Västerås SK (客队)

预测 27.22%3.67公平赔率
EV +6.17%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +2.13%
增长率 +0.131%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.68%27.06%27.41%28.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.403.393.9032.26%29.42%29.50%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.27%3.81公平赔率
EV +2.45%
优势 +0.628%
Kelly +0.844%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 3.90

博彩公司预测分布
24.68%26.31%26.11%28.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.443.453.9032.26%29.09%28.99%25.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AIK (主队):46.51%;Västerås SK (客队):27.22%;平局:26.27%。 对于“Västerås SK (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.67。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.90,对应+6.17%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +6.17%E +1.58%K +2.13%G +0.131%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.628%K +0.844%G +0.021%3.9%2026-09-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.27%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.52%EV -9.90%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 11:49
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:31
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.49%E -0.398%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 15:46
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.81%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 15:49
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 16:36
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.50%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -7.99%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.58%EV -3.07%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 07:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:36
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 16:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.66%EV -10.24%E -5.30%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.46%EV -10.71%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.88%EV -8.59%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.17%E -5.85%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:51
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:31
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.26%EV -14.42%E -7.84%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-08 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -10.70%E -5.57%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -14.25%E -4.52%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 11:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.7%2026-09-09 14:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%5.4%2026-09-09 13:21