Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AIK v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 13:00 UTC

Score final : AIK 1–4 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AIK (Local)

Prévision 46.51%2.15cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.10%46.63%46.48%50.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.841.992.002.1254.35%50.23%50.00%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV +6.17%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.131%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%27.06%27.41%28.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.393.9032.26%29.42%29.50%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.628%
Kelly +0.844%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%26.31%26.11%28.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.443.453.9032.26%29.09%28.99%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AIK (Local) : 46.51% ; Västerås SK (Visiteur) : 27.22% ; Match nul : 26.27%. Pour Västerås SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.67. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +6.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +6.17%E +1.58%K +2.13%G +0.131%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.628%K +0.844%G +0.021%3.9%2026-09-07 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -1.40%E -0.661%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.08%E +0.556%K +0.758%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-09 16:36
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.27%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.52%EV -9.90%E -2.89%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.00%E -0.556%K -0.769%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 15:51
Bovada🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -5.12%E -2.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 11:49
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:36
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -3.36%E -0.947%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -14.63%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:35
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -9.11%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:31
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -4.66%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.49%E -0.398%K -0.543%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 15:46
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -2.81%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 15:49
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.15%EV -8.38%E -4.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 16:36
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.50%EV -5.59%E -2.75%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.93%EV -7.99%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.58%EV -3.07%E -0.832%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 07:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:36
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -6.05%E -3.00%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:39
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 15:51
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 16:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 16:36
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.23%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -8.81%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.45%EV -18.57%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-09 16:36
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.76%EV -8.84%E -4.51%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 15:45
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.17%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 15:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.66%EV -10.24%E -5.30%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.46%EV -10.71%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.88%EV -8.59%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 13:05
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -7.91%E -4.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:36
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.31%E -4.77%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-08 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -11.17%E -5.85%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.53%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 15:51
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 15:31
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.06%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -13.03%E -6.97%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 08:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.26%EV -14.42%E -7.84%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.17%EV -12.89%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -10.69%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-08 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -10.70%E -5.57%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -14.25%E -4.52%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -6.75%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-08 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.22%EV -11.63%E -6.12%K -12.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -15.61%E -5.04%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%3.7%2026-09-09 14:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 46.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%4.1%2026-09-09 14:20
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.99%5.4%2026-09-09 13:21