Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v Kalmar FF

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: AIK 1–0 Kalmar FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 55.21%1.81fair odd
EV -4.48%
Edge -2.59%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.81%55.45%55.19%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.651.661.7366.23%60.57%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 19.54%5.12fair odd
EV +9.41%
Edge +1.68%
Kelly +2.05%
Growth +0.192%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.26%19.36%19.51%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.884.855.6023.26%20.47%20.62%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.25%3.96fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.251%
Kelly +0.335%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%25.19%25.31%26.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.32%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 55.21%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 19.54%; Draw: 25.25%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.12. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -9.45%E -5.76%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.45%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.124%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -2.78%E -0.723%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV +2.57%E +0.490%K +0.605%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV +2.57%E +0.490%K +0.605%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV +1.59%E +0.307%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 09:35
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -11.11%E -6.90%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +1.59%E +0.307%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -16.63%E -11.01%K -32.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -0.360%E -0.071%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 08:05
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -11.11%E -6.90%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 07:35
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -2.70%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:50
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.76%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.52%EV -2.70%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 08:01
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.59%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -3.29%E -0.665%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.10%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:44
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.69%E -3.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 09:50
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:55
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 09:34
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 11:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -10.13%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 09:34
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.48%E -2.59%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 09:10
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.35%E -5.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 09:05
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -17.93%E -5.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -13.06%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.71%EV -12.77%E -8.08%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.87%EV -15.01%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -15.99%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.36%E -2.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 11:50