La escuela de los momios

AIK v Kalmar FF

Inicio: 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC

Final: AIK 1–0 Kalmar FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AIK (Local)

Predicción 55.21%1.81momio equitativo
EV -4.48%
Ventaja -2.59%
Kelly -6.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.81%55.45%55.19%58.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.651.661.7366.23%60.57%60.24%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Predicción 19.54%5.12momio equitativo
EV +9.41%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.05%
Crecimiento +0.192%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.26%19.36%19.51%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.884.855.6023.26%20.47%20.62%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.25%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.00%
Ventaja +0.251%
Kelly +0.335%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%25.19%25.31%26.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.663.704.0030.77%27.32%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.14%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.44%EV +9.41%E +1.68%K +2.05%G +0.192%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.42%EV +1.00%E +0.251%K +0.335%G +0.003%2.4%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.00%EV -9.45%E -5.76%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +7.45%E +1.36%K +1.66%G +0.124%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -2.78%E -0.723%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.04%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 57.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.46%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 11:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV +3.55%E +0.669%K +0.825%G +0.029%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV +2.57%E +0.490%K +0.605%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -13.32%E -8.48%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV +2.57%E +0.490%K +0.605%G +0.016%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:20
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.22%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.49%EV +1.59%E +0.307%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 09:35
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -11.11%E -6.90%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +1.59%E +0.307%K +0.379%G +0.006%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -4.05%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 07:35
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -16.63%E -11.01%K -32.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -0.360%E -0.071%K -0.088%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 11:20
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 08:05
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.91%EV -11.11%E -6.90%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.31%E -0.463%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 07:35
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.81%EV -2.70%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.09%EV -9.35%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:50
GTbets1.64I 60.98%NM 56.22%EV -9.45%E -5.76%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 18.52%EV -2.70%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 08:01
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.59%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -3.29%E -0.665%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.10%EV -3.79%E -0.996%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 11:50
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 55.07%EV -5.04%E -2.93%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -4.27%E -0.871%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:35
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:44
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -5.24%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 11:45
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.18%EV -5.59%E -3.27%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 11:44
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -6.69%E -3.96%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 09:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:55
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.22%E -1.30%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 08:55
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -7.20%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 09:34
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.80%E -4.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.13%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 11:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -10.13%E -2.20%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 09:34
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.48%E -2.59%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.31%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 09:10
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.14%E -3.61%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 09:10
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.83%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.02%EV -8.35%E -5.03%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.57%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 09:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.40%EV -8.90%E -5.39%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-19 09:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.62%E -3.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-19 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.81%EV -10.56%E -6.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -12.08%E -2.68%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.82%EV -17.93%E -5.52%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-19 09:35
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.85%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.72%EV -13.06%E -2.93%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -12.88%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-19 11:34
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -7.24%E -4.31%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -14.04%E -3.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.10%E -2.53%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 54.71%EV -12.77%E -8.08%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.87%EV -15.01%E -3.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -14.15%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-19 11:35
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.66%E -7.29%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.41%EV -15.99%E -3.72%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -10.36%E -2.92%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 09:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-04-19 11:45
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.27%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-19 11:50