The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AIK v IFK Goteborg

2026-10-17 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 37.50%2.67fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.29%37.39%37.62%39.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.452.482.5546.51%40.82%40.32%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 36.72%2.72fair odd
EV -0.867%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.09%36.79%36.64%38.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.77%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.719%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%25.82%25.73%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.603.8029.41%28.08%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AIK (Local): 37.50%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 36.72%; Draw: 25.79%. For IFK Goteborg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -0.867%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -2.50%E -0.963%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -5.50%E -2.18%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.80%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -6.14%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:06
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 17:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.63%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.42%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.00%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.27%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:09
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.00%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.04%EV -7.84%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -10.00%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -6.37%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.75%E -4.52%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.88%E -5.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.88%E -5.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-10 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -12.63%E -5.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -8.94%E -3.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -13.00%E -5.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.55%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -13.75%E -5.98%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%EV -19.38%E -9.01%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.92%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-10 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-10 16:55