StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AIK v IFK Goteborg

2026-10-17 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

33 spelbolag (7 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

AIK (Hemma)

Prognos 37.50%2.67rättvist odds
EV -4.38%
Fördel -1.72%
Kelly -2.83%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.28%37.39%37.62%39.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.452.482.5546.51%40.88%40.32%39.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Borta)

Prognos 36.72%2.72rättvist odds
EV -0.867%
Fördel -0.321%
Kelly -0.510%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.09%36.79%36.64%38.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.512.502.7043.48%39.87%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.79%3.88rättvist odds
EV -2.01%
Fördel -0.530%
Kelly -0.719%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.92%25.82%25.73%26.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.553.603.8030.30%28.14%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: AIK (Hemma): 37.50%; IFK Goteborg (Borta): 36.72%; Oavgjort: 25.79%. För IFK Goteborg (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.72. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 2.70, med väntevärdet -0.867%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (33 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.23%EV -4.38%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.11%EV -0.867%E -0.321%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%EV -2.01%E -0.530%K -0.719%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-10 16:45
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.68%EV -5.50%E -2.18%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -3.80%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.08%EV -6.14%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:06
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.59%E -1.24%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:30
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 17:15
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 16:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 17:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.25%E -2.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-10 20:05
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.63%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.42%EV -4.33%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.00%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -5.27%E -2.04%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.46%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:09
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.49%EV -7.00%E -2.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.04%EV -7.84%E -3.12%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.47%EV -5.88%E -1.61%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -4.54%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:45
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -8.13%E -3.32%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.17%E -1.99%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -10.00%E -4.17%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -6.37%E -2.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 17:30
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -10.75%E -4.52%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -10.75%E -4.52%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -14.91%E -4.52%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-10 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.88%E -5.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.21%E -3.28%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -11.88%E -5.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.72%E -5.84%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-10 20:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.10%EV -12.63%E -5.42%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.79%EV -8.94%E -3.61%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.33%E -3.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.84%EV -13.00%E -5.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -11.88%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.55%E -3.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -13.75%E -5.98%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.50%EV -15.55%E -6.76%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.99%EV -19.38%E -9.01%K -16.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.09%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.92%EV -11.04%E -3.20%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-10 20:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%13.1%2026-10-10 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-10-10 16:55