Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 64.02%1.56fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.64%63.91%64.02%65.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.13%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 14.62%6.84fair odd
EV +9.67%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.144%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.70%14.57%16.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.356.327.5018.52%15.75%15.82%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.333%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.76%21.39%21.41%23.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.254.204.7427.78%23.51%23.81%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 64.02%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 14.62%; Draw: 21.36%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.84. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.75%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.75%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.90%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -8.15%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:34
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -1.29%E -0.192%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.22%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.70%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.389%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.70%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.389%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.56%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.75%E -0.380%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:19
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.51%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.10%E -6.41%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:38
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:14
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.10%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.96%EV -6.56%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.87%EV -2.17%E -0.475%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:45
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:14
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -9.34%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -9.34%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.51%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -2.81%E -0.619%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:26
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 11:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -23.11%E -6.42%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 11:10
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -12.55%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV +1.24%E +0.262%K +0.333%G +0.004%6.8%2026-04-05 11:49
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -2.05%E -1.34%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.93%EV -12.70%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.91%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:09
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.92%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -16.65%E -2.92%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 11:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.31%EV -11.66%E -8.45%K -30.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.70%E -4.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 11:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -21.04%E -3.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.96%EV -11.66%E -8.45%K -30.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -21.04%E -3.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-05 11:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:45
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:45
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-04-05 11:50