La escuela de los momios

AIK v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AIK (Local)

Predicción 64.02%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.64%63.91%64.02%65.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.13%69.44%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 14.62%6.84momio equitativo
EV +9.67%
Ventaja +1.29%
Kelly +1.49%
Crecimiento +0.144%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.98%14.70%14.57%16.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.356.327.5018.52%15.75%15.82%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.36%4.68momio equitativo
EV +1.24%
Ventaja +0.262%
Kelly +0.333%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.76%21.39%21.41%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.254.204.7427.78%23.51%23.81%21.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.75%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 11:34
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.75%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.04%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.22%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.90%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +9.67%E +1.29%K +1.49%G +0.144%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-05 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.44%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -8.15%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:34
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.73%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -8.46%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:34
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 64.71%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +2.36%E +0.337%K +0.394%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 11:35
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.27%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -1.29%E -0.192%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.22%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 11:14
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.70%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.389%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:09
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.67%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.70%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV +0.389%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.08%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.56%EV -3.49%E -0.528%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:25
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.69%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -1.75%E -0.380%K -0.485%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 11:19
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -7.51%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.10%E -6.41%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:15
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-05 11:38
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.23%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:14
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -4.95%E -0.762%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.16%EV -4.61%E -3.10%K -9.42%G +0.000%6.39I 15.65%NM 14.96%EV -6.56%E -1.03%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.87%EV -2.17%E -0.475%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 11:45
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:45
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 64.03%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 11:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -8.61%E -1.38%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:14
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -9.34%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:10
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -9.34%E -1.51%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.09%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:10
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.51%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 63.77%EV -5.89%E -4.01%K -12.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.60%EV -2.81%E -0.619%K -0.793%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 11:26
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.88%E -0.863%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 11:49
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:39
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 11:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-05 11:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.64%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -12.26%E -2.04%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -23.11%E -6.42%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 11:10
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.58%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66%EV -12.55%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.76%EV +1.24%E +0.262%K +0.333%G +0.004%6.8%2026-04-05 11:49
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.16%EV -2.05%E -1.34%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 15.93%EV -12.70%E -2.13%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.91%EV -7.30%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:09
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -15.92%E -2.77%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.29%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -16.65%E -2.92%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -6.02%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 11:19
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.56%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.38%E -7.41%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -10.29%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 11:19
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.31%EV -11.66%E -8.45%K -30.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -19.57%E -3.56%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -16.70%E -4.28%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-05 11:34
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.30%EV -9.74%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.27%EV -21.04%E -3.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -12.43%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 11:19
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.96%EV -11.66%E -8.45%K -30.67%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -21.04%E -3.90%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -17.77%E -4.61%K -6.23%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-05 11:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:45
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.00%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.38%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.0%2026-04-05 11:45
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-04-05 11:50