Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 12:02 UTC

Final: AIK 2–4 Djurgardens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 34.93%2.86fair odd
EV -0.439%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.82%34.89%34.95%35.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8540.00%37.72%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV +0.962%
Edge +0.356%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.24%37.37%37.34%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.7043.48%40.24%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%27.74%27.71%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.31%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 34.93%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 37.39%; Draw: 27.67%. For Djurgardens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.962%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%EV +0.962%E +0.356%K +0.566%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -0.908%E -0.343%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -0.908%E -0.343%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BetUS🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BetAnything🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.49%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.87%E -0.817%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 11:59
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.80%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:59
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 11:53
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.81%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -5.39%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -4.80%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.82%EV -0.439%E -0.154%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 11:59
Bovada🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.01%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.39%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:58
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 12:00
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:59
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.79%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:59
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 12:00
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:59
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.30%EV -11.62%E -4.59%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 11:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -15.60%E -5.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-10 12:00
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 11:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.9%2026-05-10 12:00