L’École des cotes

AIK v Djurgardens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 12:02 UTC

Score final : AIK 2–4 Djurgardens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AIK (Local)

Prévision 34.93%2.86cote équitable
EV -0.439%
Avantage -0.154%
Kelly -0.237%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.82%34.89%34.95%35.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.652.652.8540.00%37.72%37.74%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Djurgardens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.39%2.67cote équitable
EV +0.962%
Avantage +0.356%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.24%37.37%37.34%38.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.482.502.7043.48%40.24%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.67%3.61cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.74%27.71%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5134.72%30.31%30.30%28.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.40%EV +0.962%E +0.356%K +0.566%G +0.005%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.49%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -0.908%E -0.343%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.72%EV -2.19%E -0.781%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.69%EV -0.908%E -0.343%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.74%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.78%E -1.07%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BetUS2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -4.98%E -1.83%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.78%EV -3.53%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 35.16%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.49%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.35%EV -2.87%E -0.817%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 11:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.80%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 11:59
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 12:00
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -4.65%E -1.82%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 11:53
1xBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.81%EV -4.63%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.56%EV -5.39%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -4.80%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.82%EV -0.439%E -0.154%K -0.237%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.25%EV -5.77%E -2.29%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.94%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 11:59
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 35.01%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.39%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:58
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 12:00
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 11:59
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 11:59
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.43%E -2.80%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.52%E -2.61%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.86%EV -6.38%E -2.38%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -8.12%E -3.09%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.79%EV -7.26%E -2.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:59
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.68%E -2.10%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.39%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-10 12:00
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:59
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -8.47%E -3.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-10 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.30%EV -11.62%E -4.59%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-10 11:59
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -10.92%E -4.28%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -10.26%E -4.27%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -15.60%E -5.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -11.00%E -4.62%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.06%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-10 12:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.17%E -3.53%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.38%E -4.80%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 11:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.67%E -5.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -14.00%E -6.08%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.97%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 34.93%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.32%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.9%2026-05-10 12:00