Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren v Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren (Local)

Prediction 15.13%6.61fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.441%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 6.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.15%15.17%15.11%16.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.076.006.7818.18%16.47%16.67%14.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 63.29%1.58fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -7.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.02%63.27%63.23%64.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.471.481.5276.92%67.94%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.59%4.63fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.439%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.56%21.67%22.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.294.304.5625.64%23.31%23.26%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 15.13%; Rangers (Visit): 63.29%; Draw: 21.59%. For St Mirren (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.61. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯6.78I 14.75%NM 14.17%EV +2.55%E +0.376%K +0.441%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 11:55
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 10:30
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:53
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 11:30
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 11:30
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.50%E -6.64%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Pinnacle🎯6.47I 15.46%NM 14.92%EV -2.14%E -0.330%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.17%EV -1.56%E -0.342%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -2.44%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 11:15
Everygame🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -6.09%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -6.09%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
LeoVegas🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:35
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:05
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:04
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
Casumo🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
betPARX🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:47
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:15
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:30
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 11:53
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 11:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:15
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Neds🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 10:30
PlayUp🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 14.61%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.04%EV -17.73%E -13.64%K -59.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -15.81%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 11:55
Codere (IT)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.30%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:30
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.49%EV -11.40%E -8.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.60%EV -12.57%E -3.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -12.03%E -8.66%K -30.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -14.73%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-15 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-03-15 11:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.48%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%4.1%2026-03-15 11:15