La escuela de los momios

St Mirren v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-03-15 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St Mirren (Local)

Predicción 15.13%6.61momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.441%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.15%15.17%15.11%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.076.006.7818.18%16.47%16.67%14.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 63.29%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -2.50%
Kelly -7.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.02%63.27%63.23%64.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.471.481.5276.92%67.94%67.57%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.59%4.63momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.439%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.56%21.67%22.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.294.304.5625.64%23.31%23.26%21.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet6.78I 14.75%NM 14.17%EV +2.55%E +0.376%K +0.441%G +0.011%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.64%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.19%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 11:55
Coolbet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 10:30
Fanatics6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 10:30
Bet Victor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:53
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 11:30
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 11:30
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.50%E -6.64%K -22.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:54
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -1.68%E -0.259%K -0.306%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 11:30
Pinnacle6.47I 15.46%NM 14.92%EV -2.14%E -0.330%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.92%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.17%EV -1.56%E -0.342%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Marathon Bet6.45I 15.50%NM 14.46%EV -2.44%E -0.378%K -0.448%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 11:55
BetOnline.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 11:15
LowVig.ag6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.95%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.75%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 11:15
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 11:54
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.07%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 11:55
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.47%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.09%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 11:55
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -6.09%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.52%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -6.09%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
LeoVegas6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:55
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -7.73%E -1.27%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.71%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 11:35
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 11:05
DraftKings6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:05
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:04
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
Casumo6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
TABtouch6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
betPARX6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 11:55
BetRivers6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:47
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 11:15
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -2.86%E -0.635%K -0.816%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 11:30
Bovada6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 11:53
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.18%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -7.17%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 11:55
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:05
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:15
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -9.25%E -1.54%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 11:15
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -10.76%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 10:30
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -5.02%E -1.14%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 11:05
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -12.27%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.36%EV -8.23%E -5.68%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.49%E -2.80%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 10:30
PlayUp5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -13.03%E -2.27%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.34%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.25%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 11:55
PMU (FR)5.70I 17.54%NM 14.61%EV -13.78%E -2.42%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 64.04%EV -17.73%E -13.64%K -59.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -15.81%E -4.05%K -5.45%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-15 11:55
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -15.30%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -9.33%E -2.22%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 10:30
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -6.53%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 11:54
Parions Sport (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.49%EV -11.40%E -8.14%K -28.50%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.60%EV -12.57%E -3.10%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 11:35
NetBet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -16.81%E -3.06%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.32%EV -12.03%E -8.66%K -30.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.93%EV -14.73%E -3.73%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-15 11:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Matchbook7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-03-15 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.23%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-03-15 11:55
Kalshi6.67I 14.99%NM 14.40%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.48%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.12%4.1%2026-03-15 11:15