默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St Mirren v Celtic

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

最终结果: St Mirren 1–2 Celtic

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St Mirren (主队)

预测 16.39%6.10公平赔率
EV +10.64%
优势 +1.58%
Kelly +1.85%
增长率 +0.197%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
13.74%16.29%16.51%17.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.895.906.7520.00%16.96%16.95%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Celtic (客队)

预测 63.12%1.58公平赔率
EV -3.43%
优势 -2.24%
Kelly -6.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布
61.74%63.16%63.00%65.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.371.451.451.5372.99%68.77%68.97%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.49%4.88公平赔率
EV -2.67%
优势 -0.562%
Kelly -0.712%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.75

博彩公司预测分布
19.72%20.55%20.49%22.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.154.484.504.7524.10%22.32%22.22%21.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:St Mirren (主队):16.39%;Celtic (客队):63.12%;平局:20.49%。 对于“St Mirren (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.10。 当时有18家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.75,对应+10.64%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +10.64%E +1.58%K +1.85%G +0.197%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -9.74%E -6.81%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV +10.64%E +1.58%K +1.85%G +0.197%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -9.74%E -6.81%K -22.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV +9.82%E +1.47%K +1.72%G +0.169%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.84%EV -10.37%E -7.30%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -11.89%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 14:20
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 09:25
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55
TABtouch🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:50
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:50
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV +6.55%E +1.01%K +1.19%G +0.078%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.35%EV -11.00%E -7.80%K -26.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Coolbet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.23%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.74%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.67%E -0.562%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 05:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.05%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -2.67%E -0.562%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 05:24
Betr (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -3.70%E -0.786%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 05:30
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -11.64%E -8.31%K -29.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 10:55
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.39%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.17%EV -12.90%E -9.35%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV +2.45%E +0.392%K +0.466%G +0.011%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -12.90%E -9.35%K -33.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -10.87%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.80%EV -13.53%E -9.87%K -36.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV -11.89%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.55%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 64.80%EV -13.53%E -9.87%K -36.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.65%EV -11.89%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 10:55
1xBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.48%EV -0.830%E -0.137%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.71%EV -7.22%E -4.91%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 05:05
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -0.830%E -0.137%K -0.164%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 05:05
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:50
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 19:02
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 19:00
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -8.48%E -5.85%K -18.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.89%E -2.77%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 05:05
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.29%E -0.557%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.96%E -3.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 05:05
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.61%EV -3.29%E -0.557%K -0.671%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.21%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.19%EV -14.96%E -3.61%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 05:05
Fanatics🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.67%E -0.562%K -0.712%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 07:50
LeoVegas🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.33%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 09:28
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 05:09
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 05:09
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -13.94%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 18:10
Pinnacle🎯5.53I 18.08%NM 17.11%EV -9.35%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.67%EV -4.69%E -3.11%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.22%EV -4.10%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 05:05
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -3.43%E -2.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:29
Neds🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 09:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.28%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:05
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.28%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:05
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.28%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.28%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -10.37%E -7.30%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.23%EV -8.82%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.48%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.41%EV -7.85%E -5.38%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 09:35
NetBet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -11.48%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -10.37%E -7.30%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.94%E -3.32%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -13.12%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 05:01
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.12%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 06:04
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.12%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 06:04
BetUS🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.12%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -5.95%E -4.00%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.84%E -2.24%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 06:10
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.67%E -0.562%K -0.712%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 06:10
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:30
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -5.32%E -3.55%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.74%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 05:05
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.11%E -6.33%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.79%E -1.73%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 12:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.47%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi◎6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%0.9%2026-09-04 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-09-04 14:05