St Johnstone v Kilmarnock

2026-08-02 13:00 — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: St Johnstone (Local)

Odds

2.1546.51%Min

2.3642.38%Mean

2.3842.02%Median

2.4041.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

38.88%2.572Min

40.19%2.488Max

39.24%2.548Mean

39.23%2.549Median

39.21%2.550IQM

39.21%2.551Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 39.21%

EV -5.89%Edge -2.46%Kelly -4.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kilmarnock (Visit)

Odds

2.6038.46%Min

2.7336.70%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.7536.36%Max

Consensus probabilities

33.23%3.009Min

35.21%2.840Max

33.99%2.942Mean

33.87%2.952Median

33.87%2.953IQM

34.06%2.936Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 33.87%

EV -6.86%Edge -2.50%Kelly -3.92%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.2530.77%Min

3.4529.02%Mean

3.4529.03%Median

3.7526.67%Max

Consensus probabilities

25.47%3.926Min

27.44%3.644Max

26.77%3.736Mean

26.90%3.718Median

26.92%3.715IQM

26.73%3.741Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.75 under the IQM model: 26.92%

EV +0.955%Edge +0.255%Kelly +0.347%Growth +0.003%

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	St Johnstone (Local)	Kilmarnock (Visit)	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
betfred_uk	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.80%EV -5.89% E -2.46% K -4.21% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67% NM 25.47%EV +0.955% E +0.255% K +0.347% G +0.003%	4.7%	2026-07-01 02:49
Betr (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.41%EV -5.89% E -2.46% K -4.21% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.03%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.56%EV -0.391% E -0.106% K -0.145% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 23:29
PointsBet (AU)	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.41%EV -5.89% E -2.46% K -4.21% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 35.03%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03% NM 25.56%EV -0.391% E -0.106% K -0.145% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-30 23:29
Bet Right	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.88%EV -5.89% E -2.46% K -4.21% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -10.25% E -3.87% K -6.21% G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78% NM 25.92%EV -3.08% E -0.857% K -1.19% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-03 13:10
Fanatics	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.09%EV -5.89% E -2.46% K -4.21% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.11%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57% NM 26.80%EV -5.78% E -1.65% K -2.31% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-03 22:30
Unibet	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
Casumo	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:30
ATG (SE)	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.87%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99% NM 27.00%EV -7.12% E -2.06% K -2.91% G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-30 23:29
1xBet	2.39I 41.84% NM 39.00%EV -6.29% E -2.63% K -4.52% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.90%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.10%EV -7.39% E -2.15% K -3.03% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-04 00:10
Marathon Bet	2.39I 41.84% NM 39.00%EV -6.29% E -2.63% K -4.52% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.90%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.44I 29.07% NM 27.10%EV -7.39% E -2.15% K -3.03% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-04 00:04
888sport	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.98%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.29%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
William Hill	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.98%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.29%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 23:30
BetRivers	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.98%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.29%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 23:30
888sport (SE)	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.98%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.29%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)	2.38I 42.02% NM 38.98%EV -6.68% E -2.81% K -4.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.29%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
Codere (IT)	2.31I 43.29% NM 39.45%EV -9.42% E -4.08% K -7.19% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.75%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 26.80%EV -8.47% E -2.49% K -3.53% G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-06-30 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.35I 42.55% NM 39.12%EV -7.85% E -3.34% K -5.82% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.43%EV -6.86% E -2.50% K -3.92% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.44%EV -9.81% E -2.93% K -4.18% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
Virgin Bet	2.33I 42.92% NM 39.09%EV -8.64% E -3.71% K -6.50% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.73%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.18%EV -9.81% E -2.93% K -4.18% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet	2.33I 42.92% NM 39.09%EV -8.64% E -3.71% K -6.50% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.73%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 27.18%EV -9.81% E -2.93% K -4.18% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-06-30 23:29
LeoVegas	2.30I 43.48% NM 39.23%EV -9.82% E -4.27% K -7.55% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 33.42%EV -8.56% E -3.17% K -5.03% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.34%EV -11.16% E -3.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-02 10:20
BoyleSports	2.20I 45.45% NM 39.80%EV -13.74% E -6.24% K -11.45% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.67%EV -11.94% E -4.59% K -7.46% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 26.53%EV -11.16% E -3.38% K -4.85% G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (FR)	2.15I 46.51% NM 40.19%EV -15.70% E -7.30% K -13.65% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.23%EV -11.94% E -4.59% K -7.46% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 26.58%EV -12.51% E -3.85% K -5.56% G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-06-30 23:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	St Johnstone (Local)	Kilmarnock (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.30I 43.48%	2.62I 38.17%	3.60I 27.78%	9.4%	2026-06-30 23:30