Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.78
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Johnstone (Local): 47.16%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 26.18%; Draw: 26.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.751. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.033%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -0.033%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.98%E -3.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -1.03%E -0.274%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.61%EV -3.23%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.83%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV -1.03%E -0.274%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.61%EV -3.23%E -0.890%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.44%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.49%EV -1.56%E -0.414%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.07%EV -5.63%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -12.29%E -3.67%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -6.15%E -3.09%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.43%EV -1.03%E -0.274%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -2.43%E -0.665%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.08%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.08%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.56%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.13%E -0.846%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -14.91%E -4.59%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-02 12:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.98%E -4.65%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.70%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.02%EV -9.45%E -4.92%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.44%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -9.45%E -4.92%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.75%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -10.70%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 12:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -10.39%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.87%E -5.75%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.96%EV -13.70%E -7.48%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.03%E -3.65%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.48% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 0.3% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
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