Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Johnstone v Hibernian

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 14:00 UTC

Final: St Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Johnstone (Local)

Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%30.07%29.87%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.053.053.4235.71%32.78%32.79%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hibernian (Visit)

Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.887%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.29%41.92%42.05%44.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.232.3547.62%44.99%44.94%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.08%3.56fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.684%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.01%28.08%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.353.5031.75%29.99%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Johnstone (Local): 29.87%; Hibernian (Visit): 42.04%; Draw: 28.08%. For St Johnstone (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +2.17%E +0.634%K +0.896%G +0.019%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -7.08%E -3.21%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 13:39
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.66%EV -2.61%E -0.801%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -3.40%E -0.987%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.91%E -0.895%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:59
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:39
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:34
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:42
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:50
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:35
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:59
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:55
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 13:58
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 13:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 13:29
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -10.87%E -5.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 13:29
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.05%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.05%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-09-06 13:55
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-06 13:55