Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone v Hibernian

Início: 2026-09-06 14:00 UTC

Final: St Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone (Local)

Previsão 29.87%3.35odd justa
EV +2.17%
Vantagem +0.634%
Kelly +0.896%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.00%30.07%29.87%32.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.053.4235.71%32.78%32.79%29.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hibernian (Visitante)

Previsão 42.04%2.38odd justa
EV -1.20%
Vantagem -0.510%
Kelly -0.887%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.29%41.92%42.05%44.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.222.232.3547.62%44.99%44.94%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.08%3.56odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.489%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.05%28.01%28.08%28.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.333.353.5031.75%29.99%29.85%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Johnstone (Local): 29.87%; Hibernian (Visitante): 42.04%; Empate: 28.08%. Para St Johnstone (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV +2.17%E +0.634%K +0.896%G +0.019%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -7.08%E -3.21%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.55%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -1.42%E -0.429%K -0.616%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 13:39
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.66%EV -2.61%E -0.801%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.23%EV -3.72%E -1.62%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.11%EV -3.40%E -0.987%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -2.91%E -0.895%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.85%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.14%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:59
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:39
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 13:34
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:42
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:50
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 13:35
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:35
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 13:35
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -4.40%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -5.60%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.02%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:59
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:55
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 13:44
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 13:58
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -10.14%E -3.17%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 13:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -8.88%E -2.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.14%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 13:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 13:29
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:35
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 13:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 13:35
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-06 13:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.02%EV -10.87%E -5.13%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -11.54%E -3.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.903%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -1.71%E -0.489%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.52%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 13:29
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.07%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -5.92%E -1.77%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.33%E -2.22%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -14.86%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.05%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.67%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.05%EV -9.19%E -4.25%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -8.73%E -2.69%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-09-06 13:55
Matchbook◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.43%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.37%0.7%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-06 13:55
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.46%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-09-06 13:55