Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers v Motherwell

2026-09-05 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 62.68%1.60fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -4.88%
Kelly -15.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.68%62.68%62.68%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.441.451.4870.92%69.20%68.97%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Motherwell (Visit)

Prediction 15.45%6.47fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.649%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.02%15.45%15.45%15.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.755.966.006.2517.39%16.79%16.67%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.86%4.57fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.55%21.86%21.86%21.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.224.254.3524.39%23.71%23.53%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rangers (Local): 62.68%; Motherwell (Visit): 15.45%; Draw: 21.86%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.25, with an expected value of -3.41%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.41%E -0.545%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -7.23%E -4.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.41%E -0.545%K -0.649%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -4.90%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-26 14:04
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:05
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:05
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:04
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:04
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -9.11%E -6.28%K -20.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.27%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -7.08%E -1.67%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-26 14:08
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.74%E -6.76%K -22.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.18%E -1.95%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-26 14:04
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -10.36%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -10.36%E -7.25%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -10.36%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -11.62%E -8.24%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.43%EV -11.14%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.36%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.93%EV -11.62%E -8.24%K -28.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.43%EV -11.14%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -10.36%E -2.53%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-26 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.