Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 6.51
assuming max odds 4.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 63.97%; Motherwell (Visit): 15.22%; Draw: 20.81%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.51, with an expected value of -0.914%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV -13.24%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-02 22:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -16.29%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 14:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -23.90%E -4.78%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -9.46%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -9.46%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 09:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.70%EV -0.914%E -0.140%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.23%EV -1.55%E -0.328%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -2.18%E -0.463%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -2.59%E -0.404%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 06:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.652%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -13.62%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 20:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.652%K -0.776%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -13.62%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 10:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 04:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -2.59%E -0.404%K -0.479%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 14:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-02 19:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-02 22:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -9.81%E -6.96%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -7.38%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 22:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.00%EV -11.09%E -7.98%K -28.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 0.9% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |