Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rangers v Motherwell

Início: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Rangers 1–0 Motherwell

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rangers (Local)

Previsão 63.97%1.56odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -2.26%
Kelly -6.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.22%63.98%63.89%65.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.391.451.451.5171.94%68.74%68.97%66.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Motherwell (Visitante)

Previsão 15.22%6.57odd justa
EV -0.914%
Vantagem -0.140%
Kelly -0.166%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.17%15.18%15.24%18.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.006.036.006.5120.00%16.58%16.67%15.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.81%4.80odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.239%
Kelly -0.303%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.65%20.84%20.87%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.384.404.7524.39%22.82%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rangers (Local): 63.97%; Motherwell (Visitante): 15.22%; Empate: 20.81%. Para Motherwell (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 6.51, com valor esperado de -0.914%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -3.41%E -2.26%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV -13.24%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 09:35
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.25%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 22:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 22:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 09:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -16.29%E -2.96%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -4.05%E -2.70%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -23.90%E -4.78%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:55
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 09:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -9.46%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -4.87%E -0.779%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -9.46%E -2.17%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 10:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -5.33%E -3.60%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 09:34
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.08%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.70%EV -0.914%E -0.140%K -0.166%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.23%EV -1.55%E -0.328%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:10
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -5.97%E -4.06%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 19:15
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -2.18%E -0.463%K -0.588%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 14:00
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.57%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -2.59%E -0.404%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:05
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.10%EV -5.63%E -0.908%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.26%E -0.926%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:00
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 06:10
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.76%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.652%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -13.62%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:30
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.652%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.12%EV -13.62%E -3.28%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 20:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:50
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -7.25%E -5.00%K -16.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -11.54%E -2.72%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 10:48
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -1.14%E -0.239%K -0.303%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 04:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.72%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -2.59%E -0.404%K -0.479%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:04
betano_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.52%EV -7.89%E -5.48%K -17.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 10:49
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-02 22:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -11.72%E -2.02%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-04 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -8.53%E -5.96%K -19.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.57%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.88%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -1.07%E -0.164%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.42%E -1.91%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.76%EV -9.17%E -6.46%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.50%EV -12.48%E -2.17%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -14.66%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.44%EV -9.81%E -6.96%K -23.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.42%EV -7.38%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 14:09
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.45%E -7.46%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.34%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 22:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.00%EV -11.09%E -7.98%K -28.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.68%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.18%EV -12.58%E -3.00%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%0.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.32%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.98%1.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-09-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.03%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-09-04 12:40