Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers v Aberdeen

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 78.97%1.27fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.69%78.90%78.76%80.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.191.191.2391.74%84.17%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aberdeen (Visit)

Prediction 7.01%14.27fair odd
EV +5.13%
Edge +0.342%
Kelly +0.367%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.23%7.05%7.07%8.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.0012.7513.0015.009.09%7.84%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.02%7.13fair odd
EV +5.18%
Edge +0.690%
Kelly +0.796%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.52%14.06%14.17%15.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.536.507.5016.95%15.30%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 78.97%; Aberdeen (Visit): 7.01%; Draw: 14.02%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.13. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +5.18%E +0.690%K +0.796%G +0.041%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.60%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.35%EV -8.18%E -0.625%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.05%EV +3.49%E +0.473%K +0.548%G +0.019%3.8%2026-03-21 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.37%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV +1.67%E +0.231%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.37%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV +1.67%E +0.231%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.88%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%14.32I 6.98%NM 6.69%EV +0.369%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +0.129%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:25
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:23
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:19
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -4.64%E -0.682%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -4.64%E -0.682%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -5.34%E -0.791%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.34%E -0.791%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:19
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:20
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:38
BetUS🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -12.39%E -0.991%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -12.39%E -0.991%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +1.63%E +0.112%K +0.121%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:20
Betsson🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +1.63%E +0.112%K +0.121%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.12%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -14.46%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.26%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -14.46%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -22.90%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.77%E -9.53%K -82.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -22.90%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 78.03%EV -12.35%E -11.12%K -112.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.53%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-21 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 78.40%EV -13.93%E -12.78%K -154.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48%EV -17.26%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.76%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.12%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%0.3%2026-03-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.65%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11%0.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.41%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-03-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.41%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-03-21 17:40
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.43%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.86%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-03-21 17:19