L’École des cotes

Rangers v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rangers (Local)

Prévision 78.97%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -2.33%
Kelly -12.48%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.69%78.90%78.76%80.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.191.191.2391.74%84.17%84.03%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.01%14.27cote équitable
EV +5.13%
Avantage +0.342%
Kelly +0.367%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.23%7.05%7.07%8.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0012.7513.0015.009.09%7.84%7.69%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.02%7.13cote équitable
EV +5.18%
Avantage +0.690%
Kelly +0.796%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.52%14.06%14.17%15.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.906.536.507.5016.95%15.30%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.26%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +5.18%E +0.690%K +0.796%G +0.041%6.5%2026-03-21 17:19
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.60%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.10I 7.63%NM 7.35%EV -8.18%E -0.625%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.38I 13.55%NM 13.05%EV +3.49%E +0.473%K +0.548%G +0.019%3.8%2026-03-21 17:39
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.37%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV +1.67%E +0.231%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 79.37%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.39%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.25%EV +1.67%E +0.231%K +0.267%G +0.004%4.1%2026-03-21 17:20
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.88%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%14.32I 6.98%NM 6.69%EV +0.369%E +0.026%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.43%EV +0.129%E +0.018%K +0.021%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 17:40
Fanatics1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:25
DraftKings1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 17:40
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:23
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.25%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -1.83%E -0.262%K -0.306%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 17:19
Neds1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -4.64%E -0.682%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.22%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -4.64%E -0.682%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 17:39
Marathon Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.91%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -5.34%E -0.791%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:38
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 79.01%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.17%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -5.34%E -0.791%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -4.45%E -3.68%K -21.19%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-21 17:39
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 17:20
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +5.13%E +0.342%K +0.367%G +0.019%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:40
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 78.46%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 17:40
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.14%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 17:20
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:34
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 17:19
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.28%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.49%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 17:20
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:38
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.61%E -6.50%K -44.75%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.85%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 17:39
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -12.39%E -0.991%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:05
Svenska Spel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.48%EV -2.87%E -2.33%K -12.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.62%EV -12.39%E -0.991%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 17:05
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +1.63%E +0.112%K +0.121%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:20
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +1.63%E +0.112%K +0.121%G +0.002%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.25%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 17:20
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -3.66%E -3.00%K -16.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.84%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 17:00
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.86%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.88%E -0.683%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 17:40
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.41%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.87%E -0.134%K -0.144%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 17:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:05
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -12.35%E -1.98%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 17:04
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.12%EV -5.24%E -4.37%K -26.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -14.46%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.26%EV -6.03%E -5.07%K -31.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -14.46%E -2.37%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 17:05
LiveScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Virgin Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 17:00
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -22.90%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 17:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 77.46%EV -10.77%E -9.53%K -82.82%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.96%EV -22.90%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.59%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 17:40
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 78.03%EV -12.35%E -11.12%K -112.24%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.53%EV -19.40%E -1.69%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.44%EV -15.86%E -2.64%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-21 17:34
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 78.40%EV -13.93%E -12.78%K -154.73%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.12%EV -15.89%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.48%EV -17.26%E -2.93%K -3.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.22I 81.97%NM 81.76%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.12%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12%0.3%2026-03-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.65%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.11%0.4%2026-03-21 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.41%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-03-21 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 81.41%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.52%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.07%0.7%2026-03-21 17:40
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 81.43%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.86%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-03-21 17:19