Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 2.58
assuming max odds 3.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 35.63%; St Mirren (Visit): 38.35%; Draw: 26.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.81, with an expected value of -0.893%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.45%E -0.654%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.42%EV -0.893%E -0.234%K -0.318%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.25%EV -1.05%E -0.406%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -5.57%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -11.79%E -5.12%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-02 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.63%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.18%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.18%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-02 18:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-02 18:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-02 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.79%E -5.12%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-02 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.91%EV -8.42%E -3.28%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-02 18:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.52%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.22%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.27%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.27%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-02 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-02 18:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.70%E -6.09%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-02 18:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -11.98%E -4.85%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.14%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 0.8% | 2026-09-02 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-09-02 18:40 |