Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kilmarnock v St Mirren

Início: 2026-09-02 18:44 UTC

Final: Kilmarnock 0–1 St Mirren

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Previsão 35.63%2.81odd justa
EV -3.79%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -2.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.62%35.61%35.56%36.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.472.612.622.7040.49%38.35%38.17%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Mirren (Visitante)

Previsão 38.35%2.61odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.406%
Kelly -0.663%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.25%38.42%38.35%39.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.422.452.5844.44%41.27%40.82%38.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.01%3.84odd justa
EV -0.893%
Vantagem -0.234%
Kelly -0.318%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.75%25.98%26.09%27.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.533.523.8130.30%28.31%28.37%26.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kilmarnock (Local): 35.63%; St Mirren (Visitante): 38.35%; Empate: 26.01%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.84. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.81, com valor esperado de -0.893%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -2.45%E -0.654%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -3.79%E -1.40%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:20
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.14%EV -4.50%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.44%EV -3.35%E -1.33%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.42%EV -0.893%E -0.234%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 18:35
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.25%EV -1.05%E -0.406%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.48%EV -5.57%E -1.54%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-02 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.05%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -5.57%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -11.79%E -5.12%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-02 18:20
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.63%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.04%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 18:20
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:50
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.39%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 15:55
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.63%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.18%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.64%E -2.53%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.18%E -2.97%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -4.12%E -1.65%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.75%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 18:34
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-02 16:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.72%E -3.66%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.06%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.79%E -5.12%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-02 18:20
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.91%EV -8.42%E -3.28%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -7.95%E -3.31%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-02 18:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.52%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.22%EV -9.10%E -3.84%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-02 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 17:50
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -9.87%E -4.20%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-02 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.27%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -9.13%E -3.58%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.27%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 17:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.03%E -2.46%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-02 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.70%E -6.09%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-02 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.83%EV -11.98%E -4.85%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.14%EV -11.02%E -4.75%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-02 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-02 18:35
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.42%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%0.8%2026-09-02 18:30
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-02 18:40