La scuola delle quote

Kilmarnock v Dundee United

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Kilmarnock (Casa)

Previsione 42.52%2.35quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.587%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.78%42.47%42.46%43.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.212.212.3248.78%45.24%45.25%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Dundee United (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.14%3.32quota equa
EV -3.24%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.13%30.34%30.14%32.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.18%33.33%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.34%3.66quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.361%
Kelly -0.500%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.03%27.19%27.40%28.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.453.453.6131.75%28.99%28.99%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:51
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 14:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:06
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:11
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:51
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.27%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -1.30%E -0.361%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -7.74%E -3.57%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.69%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:04
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:53
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 13:34
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.20%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-02 13:50