L’École des cotes

Kilmarnock v Dundee United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 42.52%2.35cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.587%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.78%42.47%42.46%43.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.212.3248.78%45.24%45.25%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee United (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.14%3.32cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.13%30.34%30.14%32.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.18%33.33%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.34%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.361%
Kelly -0.500%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.19%27.40%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.453.6131.75%28.99%28.99%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:51
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 14:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:06
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:11
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:51
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.27%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -1.30%E -0.361%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -7.74%E -3.57%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.69%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:04
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:53
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 13:34
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.20%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-02 13:50