La escuela de los momios

Kilmarnock v Dundee United

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Kilmarnock 3–0 Dundee United

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Predicción 42.52%2.35momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.587%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.78%42.47%42.46%43.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.212.212.3248.78%45.24%45.25%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee United (Visitante)

Predicción 30.14%3.32momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.13%30.34%30.14%32.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2135.71%33.18%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.34%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.361%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%27.19%27.40%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.453.453.6131.75%28.99%28.99%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.98%EV -1.36%E -0.587%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.23%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -2.21%E -0.962%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:51
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.41%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.12%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.76%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-02 13:35
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:51
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -3.06%E -1.34%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -13.18%E -4.58%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:10
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 14:20
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:40
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -11.07%E -3.75%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:10
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:06
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.30%EV -2.94%E -0.829%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:11
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-01 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -4.34%E -1.93%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -14.09%E -4.94%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:51
PMU (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -5.19%E -2.33%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:51
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.27%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.12%EV -3.84%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.61%EV -1.30%E -0.361%K -0.500%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -5.61%E -2.53%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:51
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:15
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.68%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:51
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:53
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 08:31
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.46%E -2.94%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:51
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.96%EV -7.74%E -3.57%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.69%E -2.60%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -1.58%E -0.438%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.05%E -2.07%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 13:15
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:04
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.59%E -4.00%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 12:50
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.14%EV -9.02%E -4.21%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.05%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:53
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 13:34
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.28%EV -12.84%E -6.26%K -12.23%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.20%EV -13.49%E -4.70%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.52%EV -13.88%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-02 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-02 13:50