Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 37.98%; Dundee United (Visit): 35.75%; Draw: 26.27%. For Kilmarnock (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.92%EV -1.25%E -0.481%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.92%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.57%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.39%E -0.930%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -8.09%E -3.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -8.13%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -8.09%E -3.34%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -8.13%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.83%EV -8.47%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.70%E -0.618%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.64%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -9.99%E -4.21%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.45%EV -13.50%E -5.58%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.64%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 06:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |