Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kilmarnock v Dundee United

Início: 2026-08-29 14:01 UTC

Final: Kilmarnock 0–4 Dundee United

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kilmarnock (Local)

Previsão 37.98%2.63odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.481%
Kelly -0.782%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.92%38.07%38.00%39.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.432.432.6043.48%41.09%41.15%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee United (Visitante)

Previsão 35.75%2.80odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -0.972%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.37%35.65%35.70%36.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.422.622.622.7541.32%38.17%38.17%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV -1.47%
Vantagem -0.392%
Kelly -0.534%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.38%26.28%26.31%27.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.63%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kilmarnock (Local): 37.98%; Dundee United (Visitante): 35.75%; Empate: 26.27%. Para Kilmarnock (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.60, com valor esperado de -1.25%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.92%EV -1.25%E -0.481%K -0.782%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.92%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.57%E -0.973%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.39%E -0.930%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -4.29%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:35
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:40
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.05%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.94%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -5.81%E -2.34%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.57%E -2.67%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:35
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -6.95%E -2.84%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:40
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.17%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:39
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -8.09%E -3.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -8.13%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:54
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.12%EV -8.09%E -3.34%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.89%EV -8.13%E -3.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -6.72%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.83%EV -8.47%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.70%E -0.618%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:50
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.64%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -8.85%E -3.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 13:40
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -3.49%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.92%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -6.35%E -2.42%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.61%E -4.04%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -7.06%E -2.72%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -9.99%E -4.21%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.45%EV -13.50%E -5.58%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-29 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -10.75%E -4.57%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -8.85%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-29 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -12.65%E -5.50%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.64%E -4.25%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 06:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.68%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-29 13:10
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-29 13:55