Language:English
Hibernian v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hibernian (Local)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.19%57.06%57.09%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.651.6964.52%61.21%60.61%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV +0.925%
Edge +0.174%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%18.98%19.07%20.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.834.805.3022.22%20.68%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.90%4.18fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.612%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.99%23.96%23.84%25.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.843.834.0827.78%26.07%26.14%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hibernian (Local): 57.06%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 19.04%; Draw: 23.90%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.925%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.88%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV +0.925%E +0.174%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.980%E -0.188%K -0.233%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 08:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -5.60%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-16 22:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.16%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -4.41%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -7.28%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -9.67%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-19 07:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.21%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 12:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.21%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 12:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.99%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.99%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 04:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-17 04:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 05:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-13 05:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-18 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-12 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-18 19:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-12 11:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-12 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 09:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27% | 8.4% | 2026-08-17 05:14 |